Manchester United vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
OLD
1 - 1
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
3 - 2
SHE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 3
OLD
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHE
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 3
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |