Manchester United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
DER
1 - 1
MUD
22%
24%
55%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
BIF
2 - 6
MUD
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
MUD
5 - 1
WIM
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 3
MUD
21%
24%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
BYM
2 - 2
MUD
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 0
OXF
41%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 1
STO
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
BRA
3 - 0
BCF
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
BCF
0 - 1
BRI
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |