Manchester United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
DER
6 - 1
MUD
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 3
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 1
SHW
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
HUR
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
7 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 3
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 0
BBU
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
3 - 1
BIR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
BCF
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |