Manchester United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
SUN
5 - 0
MUD
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
MUD
1 - 2
WBA
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
EVE
4 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 0
BCF
69%
17%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 1
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
0 - 2
MID
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
PNE
1 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |