Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 1
MUD
53%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
MUD
1 - 0
WOL
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
SHE
1 - 4
MUD
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
MID
0 - 0
MUD
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
BUR
2 - 0
WHU
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
BUR
0 - 0
LIV
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
BUR
0 - 2
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |