Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
WBA
1 - 1
MUD
48%
21%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
MUD
2 - 0
BPO
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
MUD
3 - 1
FUL
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
BPO
2 - 0
MUD
38%
22%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
SHW
5 - 1
MUD
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
NTT
3 - 1
BUR
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
2 - 2
BUR
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
4 - 1
NTT
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |