Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
2 - 3
WBA
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 5
MUD
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
3 - 1
BPO
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 1
MUD
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 1
LUT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
ARS
2 - 4
BUR
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BUR
4 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
FUL
1 - 0
BUR
52%
21%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
BUR
8 - 0
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |