Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1955 |
CAR
3 - 0
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1955 |
MUD
2 - 4
WOL
53%
22%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1955 |
MUD
0 - 5
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
HUR
1 - 3
MUD
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1955 |
BUR
3 - 0
CHA
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1955 |
SHE
1 - 0
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1955 |
BUR
3 - 0
ARS
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
WBA
2 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |