Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
PNE
0 - 5
MUD
40%
24%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
MUD
0 - 2
STO
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
WOL
6 - 2
MUD
45%
23%
33%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
MUD
0 - 1
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1952 |
MUD
4 - 2
NEW
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
CHL
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
BPO
4 - 2
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 2
DER
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
TOT
2 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
SHW
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |