Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
4 - 0
LIV
71%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
OPA
1 - 0
MUD
49%
23%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
HUR
3 - 2
MUD
30%
24%
45%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
MUD
2 - 0
WOL
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 2
HUR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
WOL
1 - 2
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |