Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 0
WBA
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
BPO
2 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 0
BPO
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |