Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
SHW
7 - 2
MUD
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1929 |
ASV
1 - 0
MUD
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 0
MUD
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 1
GRI
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
BBU
8 - 3
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
HUR
3 - 0
BUR
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
BUR
5 - 0
SHE
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |