Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 3
MUD
71%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 3
WHU
45%
23%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
LEE
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEI
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
BUR
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
SHE
10 - 0
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |