Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |