Manchester United vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 2
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
4 - 2
NTT
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
PNE
4 - 0
BRI
54%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
BRI
3 - 2
MID
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
TOT
3 - 2
BRI
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
SHW
2 - 1
BRI
69%
17%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |