Manchester United vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 0
MUD
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 0
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
9%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 3
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 3
BRI
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 0
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 1
LIV
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
3 - 2
BRI
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |