FA Cup Final
Global 6-2
Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
NOT
3 - 2
MUD
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1983 |
MUD
3 - 0
LUT
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
SWA
67%
20%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
MUD
39%
27%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 1
BHA
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
BHA
0 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
BIR
1 - 1
BHA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NOT
1 - 0
BHA
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 0
COV
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |