Manchester United vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
LEE
3 - 1
MUD
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
OPA
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
HUR
1 - 1
MUD
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
0 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 0
BRE
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
MID
3 - 1
BRE
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
3 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |