Manchester United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
NOR
2 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
LIV
0 - 1
MUD
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
MUD
2 - 2
LIV
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1979 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
MUD
4 - 1
LEE
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
QPR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
3 - 1
EVE
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
4 - 2
ARS
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 0
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |