Manchester United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
CRV
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
LUT
2 - 2
MUD
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 0
LUT
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 3
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
BPO
2 - 3
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
BOL
1 - 5
EVE
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
BOL
1 - 2
LUT
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |