Manchester United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
50%
22%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 2
WOL
61%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 1
MUD
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
BBU
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
HUR
1 - 2
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHA
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
MID
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
43%
23%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |