Manchester United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 2
WBA
36%
22%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
MID
3 - 2
MUD
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 2
BIR
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
LEE
2 - 1
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 5
LIV
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
STO
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
OPA
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |