Manchester United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 0
SHE
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 3
MUD
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOT
60%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 2
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 3
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
BOL
4 - 2
SHW
50%
22%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |