Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
EVE
3 - 1
MUD
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MUD
0 - 1
ARS
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 3
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
IPS
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 1
WAT
64%
20%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 1
BIR
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NTT
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 2
CHL
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
WHU
2 - 0
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 2
WAT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |