Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
HUR
3 - 1
MUD
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 2
BPO
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
MID
2 - 3
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 1
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
HUR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |