Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
LEE
2 - 1
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 5
LIV
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
GRI
6 - 2
MUD
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
STO
3 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 1
SHW
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
PNE
2 - 2
BIR
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 3
ARS
46%
23%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |