Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
OPA
4 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 2
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
WHU
5 - 1
MUD
69%
17%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
MAC
4 - 1
MUD
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
0 - 2
GRI
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
BIR
6 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
BPO
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
BBU
2 - 1
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 4
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |