Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEE
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 4
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 1
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
OPA
2 - 1
BIR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
DER
3 - 1
BIR
64%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |