Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 2
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MUD
1 - 1
BBU
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
66%
18%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
MUD
4 - 1
ARS
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
SHE
2 - 1
MUD
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |