Manchester United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
SUN
4 - 1
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 1
BBU
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
76%
15%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 2
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
4 - 2
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
SHE
2 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
BRI
0 - 0
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |