Manchester United vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MUD
1 - 2
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 1
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 4
MUD
14%
23%
63%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MUD
3 - 0
FUL
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
S04
1 - 2
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 1
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BYM
1 - 2
STU
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
S04
0 - 1
BYM
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
EIN
2 - 1
BYM
15%
20%
66%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |