Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Manchester United vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
35%
26%
40%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
MUD
2 - 0
LEI
79%
14%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
MUD
3 - 0
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
PAN
1 - 1
MUD
22%
23%
55%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
26%
26%
48%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
BYM
2 - 3
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
MUN
0 - 2
BYM
23%
24%
53%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARS
58%
22%
21%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
BYM
2 - 0
COT
78%
14%
8%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
LYO
3 - 0
BYM
33%
25%
42%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |