Manchester United vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 1
MUD
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
MUD
2 - 0
LEI
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
S04
0 - 1
LEV
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
3 - 0
STU
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
0 - 1
STU
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 0
OLP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
LEV
43%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |