Champions League Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Manchester United vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CHL
0 - 3
MUD
39%
24%
38%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
MUD
3 - 2
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LEI
0 - 1
MUD
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
DEP
0 - 2
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
LEE
3 - 4
MUD
31%
24%
45%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
HSV
1 - 1
LEV
26%
24%
50%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
4 - 2
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 0
KOL
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEV
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |