Manchester United vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
MUD
2 - 1
LEE
70%
18%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
7%
15%
78%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 3
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
15%
21%
64%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
MUD
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
SER
62%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
SER
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
YVE
0 - 3
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |