Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
22%
26%
53%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
MUD
3 - 2
REA
75%
17%
9%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MUD
3 - 1
WIG
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ASV
0 - 3
MUD
16%
24%
60%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
WHU
1 - 0
MUD
14%
23%
63%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
15%
25%
60%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ASV
0 - 3
MUD
16%
24%
60%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ASV
0 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |