Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 3
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
FUL
1 - 2
MUD
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
MUD
3 - 1
WHU
78%
14%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
26%
24%
50%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
22%
24%
54%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
ASV
0 - 3
LIV
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |