Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
LIV
3 - 0
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
MUD
3 - 0
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
MUD
2 - 2
WOL
61%
19%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1964 |
FUL
2 - 2
MUD
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1964 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 3
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
FUL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |