Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
LEI
6 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1961 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
43%
23%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
MUD
5 - 1
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
MUD
6 - 0
CHL
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
52%
19%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
ASV
2 - 2
BBU
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
ASV
2 - 2
BPO
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
WOL
3 - 2
ASV
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
ASV
0 - 2
WOL
33%
23%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1960 |
PLY
0 - 0
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |