Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
0 - 3
OPA
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
NTT
1 - 2
MUD
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 2
SHR
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 1
MUD
50%
21%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 3
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ARS
4 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
5 - 1
LEI
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |