Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
OPA
0 - 0
MUD
48%
21%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 4
MUD
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1954 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEI
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1954 |
WBA
2 - 0
MUD
50%
21%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
TOT
1 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
4 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1954 |
ASV
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 3
ASV
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1954 |
ASV
1 - 3
PNE
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |