Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
2 - 0
MUD
49%
22%
29%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
CHA
1 - 2
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
44%
25%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
MUD
3 - 3
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 1
HUR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
ASV
4 - 0
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |