Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1947 |
SUN
1 - 1
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1947 |
MUD
3 - 0
BPO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1947 |
MUD
1 - 1
STO
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
ARS
6 - 2
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
MID
2 - 4
MUD
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1947 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASV
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1947 |
OPA
3 - 2
ASV
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1947 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
ARS
0 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |