Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
SUN
5 - 2
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
BPO
3 - 5
MUD
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
CHA
7 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
ASV
5 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
LEI
1 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
ASV
2 - 0
LIV
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1939 |
ASV
4 - 0
HUR
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1939 |
BRE
2 - 4
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |