Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
BOL
4 - 1
MUD
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
MUD
3 - 0
OPA
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 2
MUD
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
MUD
4 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 4
ASV
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 2
HUR
65%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
LEI
4 - 3
ASV
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 2
BUR
65%
18%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |