Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 5
MID
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
MAC
4 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
ASV
7 - 1
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
BRA
3 - 2
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
ASV
6 - 2
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
MID
5 - 0
ASV
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |