Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 0
PNE
79%
13%
7%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 2
TOT
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MUD
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 4
MID
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 2
TOT
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
MID
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 1
ASV
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 1
ASV
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 3
SHW
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |