Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 0
TOT
72%
17%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
WBA
1 - 2
MUD
12%
19%
70%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 3
MUD
18%
21%
62%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
6 - 0
RBN
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
8 - 2
MUD
4%
15%
82%
|
95 | 33 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 2
ARS
25%
23%
51%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARS
0 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
UDI
67%
20%
14%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
21%
21%
58%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
ARS
38%
24%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |