Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
TOT
1 - 1
MUD
31%
24%
45%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
77%
16%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
71%
19%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
REA
0 - 2
MUD
15%
22%
62%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
BBU
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 3
ARS
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
TOT
5 - 1
ARS
37%
26%
37%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |