Manchester United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
MUD
2 - 0
LUT
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
MUD
0 - 1
NTT
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
28%
28%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
NOR
2 - 1
MUD
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHA
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 3
NTT
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
ARS
0 - 0
MIL
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
ARS
2 - 0
LUT
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |